Global Catastrophic Risks 2020

The Global Challenges Foundation published its new report “Global Catastrophic Risks 2020”, which is based on the latest scientific research and contains contributions from leading academic experts all over the world. In 2020, COVID-19 catapulted catastrophic risks and their governance into the global consciousness. The Global Challenges Foundation’s Annual Report aims to give an overview of all the greatest threats to humanity, to track developments in the issues, to highlight their interconnectedness and to explore how they are being managed at the global level. Deep Cuts Commissioner Angela Kane contributed with a chapter on biological and chemical warfare. Read the full report here

Wie Deutschland atomwaffenfrei werden kann und die Sicherheit Europas dabei noch gestärkt wird

In German only

In den vergangenen Wochen wurde in Deutschland intensiv über die Zukunft der nuklearen Teilhabe diskutiert. Diese Debatte erweist sich auch als Chance: In fünf Jahren könnte Deutschland atomwaffenfrei sein, ohne dass Europa unsicherer ist und die NATO geschwächt wird. Dafür braucht es viel Abstimmung und eine Kombination aus Rückversicherung und Rüstungskontrolle. Pia Furhop und Deep Cuts Commissioner Ulrich Kühn und Oliver Meier analysieren diese Aspekte in ihrem Artikel hier

Increasing Nuclear Threats through Strategic Missile Defense

Growing concerns about third-country nuclear threats led the United States to withdraw from the ABM Treaty’s constraints on the size and scope of ballistic missile defense arsenals in 2002. Inaccurate and alarmist projections of “rogue state” ICBM threats were critical in winning support for the decision to withdraw from the treaty and to sustain the multi-billion dollar annual price tag for developing, deploying, and expanding strategic missile defenses. But 18 years after Washington abandoned the treaty, North Korea is the only rogue state that could pose a near-term nuclear threat against the American homeland - and U.S. missile defense interceptors and radars have not even delivered high confidence of being able to protect against this threat. In his latest publication, Deep Cuts Commissioner Greg Thielmann comprehensively analyses the current state of missile defense. Read the full Working Paper here

The Future of Nuclear Arms Control: Time for an Update

Following the Cuban Missile Crisis, arms control became an integral part of the global security architecture. However, in 2020, we live in a different reality. In her latest publication, Deep Cuts Commissioner Angela Kane together with Noah Mayhew criticise the fact, that arms control is still oriented to realities of the past. They press for an update: new global challenges, in particular quickly evolving geopolitical realities and emerging technologies, have to be addressed. Furthermore, the silos in the debate on arms control need to be overcome. Read the full report here

German Politicians Renew Nuclear Basing Debate

A senior member of the German Parliament has revitalized the debate over whether the nation should host U.S. nuclear weapons on German soil. “It is about time that Germany in the future excludes the deployment” of nuclear weapons on its territory, said Rolf Mützenich, the leader of the Social Democrat (SPD) group in the Bundestag. The discussion followed a mid-April decision by the Defense Ministry to replace Germany’s current fleet of Tornado aircraft, some of which are dual-capable with 90 Eurofighter Typhoon and 45 U.S. F-18 fighter aircraft. Thirty of the F-18s would be certified to carry U.S. nuclear weapons. Read Deep Cuts Commissioner Oliver Meier's latest publication on this debate here

U.S.-Russia Talks on New START

Delegations from the United States and the Russian Federation met in Vienna on Monday, 22 June 2020, to discuss issues of strategic stability, in particular the possibility of extending the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (New START). Watch the interviews with Deep Cuts Commissioner Angela Kane on the U.S.-Russia talks in Vienna here and here

Russia’s Document on Basic Principles of Nuclear Deterrence

What does Russia's new document on nuclear deterrence say about how it thinks about the ultimate weapon? Does Russia have a policy of escalate to de-escalate? Aditya Ramnathan and Pranav RS talk to Deep Cuts Commissioner Olya Oliker to find out more. Listen to the full podcast here

NATO’s nuclear response to the INF Treaty violation

Russia’s violation and the subsequent demise of the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty have been giving, over the past few years, further impetus to NATO’s readjustment of its deterrence and defence posture. NATO’s nuclear response to Russia’s INF violations could comprise four measures: exercises, raised  readiness  levels,  modernization  of   the  dual-capable  aircraft  force  structure,  and  deployment of  new US nuclear systems. Deep Cuts Commissioner Katarzyna Kubiak analyses NATO’s nuclear response to the INF Treaty violation in her contribution to the NDC Research Paper "Recalibrating NATO Nuclear Policy". Read the full paper here