The lack of serious engagement on behalf of the nuclear weapon states (NWS) to eliminate their nuclear weapons, as required by the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), however, is more and more being criticized by the non-nuclear weapon states (NNWS). Their patience is running out of steam, and, crucially, they have found leverage in the form of the so-called humanitarian initiative, including the prospect of banning nuclear weapons. The upcoming five-yearly NPT Review Conference - from 27 April to 22 May 2015 in New York - will be a test of the strength of the humanitarian initiative as well as an indication whether the NWS have understood the message. Click here ...

Organized by the Arms Control Association and the Brookings Institution, Deep Cuts Commissioners met for an Experts Roundtable on March 25th at the Brookings Institution in Washington DC. At this informal meeting Steven Pifer, Victor Mizin and Götz Neuneck gave short presentations about the challenges confronting U.S.-Russian nuclear arms control and the potential for further nuclear risk-reduction measures. Around 20 arms control experts and practitioners, as well as interested representatives of the U.S. philanthropic community as well as Commissioners Thielmann, Kelleher, Acton and Kühn attended the two-hour meeting to discuss preliminary recommendations of the upcoming 2nd Report of the Commission (to be released in April).

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

In his latest commentary for the National Interest, Steven Pifer explains why U.S. expectations on BMD may be running too high. According to Pifer, "After thirty-two years and tens of billions of dollars, defending the U.S. homeland against attack by strategic ballistic missiles still poses a daunting challenge. Missile defense ambitions have been regularly scaled-back. The United States should make prudent investments in missile defense as part of its overall force mix. But Washington should bear in mind the limits of technology and the nature of the relationship between offense and defense, in which offense has and, for the foreseeable future will retain, the advantage." Click here ...

In a recent series of articles, Deep Cuts Commissioners Steven Pifer and Götz Neuneck together with former German Minister Egon Bahr rejected a proposal to reintroduce forward-based U.S. nuclear weapons to Europe. The articles will be published in the upcoming issue of the IISS Survival journal.

In this paper, Thomas E. Shea and Laura Rockwood examine the potential role for international verification of fissile material in relation to nuclear disarmament, what was accomplished under the Trilateral Initiative and, more importantly, what should be done now to preserve its legacy and take concrete steps towards such verification. Click here ...

‘The future of U.S. and Russian nuclear cruise missiles is at an inflection point’, says Commissioner Thielmann in this latest TAB by ACA. According to Thielmann, ‘Russia’s alleged testing of a ground-launched cruise missile has jeopardized not only the 1987 Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty, but other bilateral nuclear agreements as well, adding further strain to the U.S.-Russian relationship. The U.S. allegation and Moscow’s three countercharges should be resolved with the help of the treaty’s Special Verification Commission, which was explicitly designed to deal with compliance issues. But the two countries need to take a broader look at nuclear cruise missiles.’ Click here …

Whether the new Minsk-2 ceasefire agreement will hold or not, the crisis in and over Ukraine will continue, Commissioner Kühn argues in this latest op-ed for the European Leadership Network (ELN). According to Kühn, it is not only one but three inter-connected crises that are affecting European and Western-Russian security relations. In order to achieve a more stable security environment, policy-makers should begin to untie the knot and tackle the three crises one by one. Click here...

Am 12. Februar diskutierte Deep Cuts Kommissionsmitglied Ulrich Kühn zusammen mit den Osteuropaexperten Hans-Henning Schröder und Christian Wipperführt die möglichen Auswirkungen des jüngsten Minsker Abkommens in der Sendung "Redezeit" des NDR. Das rund einstündige Gespräch ist als Podcast bei NDR Info abrufbar. Click here...

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